Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.164145 0.193697 0.226757 0.266442 0.312751 0.365044 0.428541
2025-09-07 0.121134 0.159374 0.206709 0.269449 0.350260 0.450671 0.584735
2025-09-14 0.096000 0.137012 0.191750 0.269820 0.377936 0.521969 0.727964
2025-09-21 0.077856 0.118905 0.177226 0.265593 0.395471 0.578621 0.855608
2025-09-28 0.065349 0.105898 0.166735 0.263884 0.414205 0.636806 0.989962
2025-10-05 0.059177 0.101050 0.166960 0.277177 0.455553 0.731183 1.187006
2025-10-12 0.054844 0.098226 0.169557 0.293925 0.503532 0.840056 1.417689
2025-10-19 0.049649 0.093020 0.167324 0.302056 0.537915 0.930353 1.627701
2025-10-26 0.044055 0.086174 0.161216 0.302460 0.558778 0.999895 1.809770
2025-11-02 0.038000 0.077511 0.150634 0.293327 0.561422 1.038024 1.940905
2025-11-09 0.032276 0.068576 0.138285 0.279161 0.552866 1.054896 2.035031
2025-11-16 0.029042 0.064079 0.133698 0.278996 0.570122 1.119613 2.222351
2025-11-23 0.025041 0.057611 0.124811 0.270133 0.571329 1.157953 2.371198
2025-11-30 0.022696 0.054346 0.122039 0.273460 0.597537 1.247754 2.631301
2025-12-07 0.020406 0.050812 0.118164 0.273861 0.617639 1.327497 2.880009
2025-12-14 0.018065 0.046751 0.112528 0.269576 0.627087 1.386333 3.091935
2025-12-21 0.016210 0.043539 0.108316 0.267843 0.641747 1.457357 3.336872
2025-12-28 0.015527 0.043133 0.110562 0.281327 0.692231 1.610386 3.775140
2026-01-04 0.015079 0.043260 0.114092 0.298315 0.752808 1.791787 4.294982
2026-01-11 0.014176 0.042019 0.114067 0.306563 0.793586 1.932808 4.737892
2026-01-18 0.012971 0.039746 0.111093 0.306972 0.815300 2.032152 5.094555
2026-01-25 0.011469 0.036361 0.104722 0.297709 0.811698 2.071444 5.313118
2026-02-01 0.009940 0.032625 0.096852 0.283339 0.793172 2.072681 5.439524